Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.715113 2.138800 2.693699 3.497431 4.675339 6.417052 9.361044
2025-02-02 1.217213 1.691276 2.423339 3.729392 6.254155 11.679857 27.777878
2025-02-09 0.930353 1.378209 2.144039 3.717740 7.479219 18.865393 87.593591
2025-02-16 0.744244 1.148763 1.888678 3.567888 8.295640 27.820201 340.379134
2025-02-23 0.643507 1.031022 1.785582 3.672408 9.992922 48.613252 10545.486262
2025-03-02 0.576936 0.955675 1.736452 3.878825 12.485026 100.108326 NaN
2025-03-09 0.513779 0.871498 1.640111 3.902502 14.451554 198.888908 NaN
2025-03-16 0.452664 0.779224 1.499378 3.717637 15.178689 337.305419 NaN
2025-03-23 0.421708 0.742605 1.479593 3.921755 18.979231 1407.782637 NaN
2025-03-30 0.388813 0.695980 1.422674 3.967221 22.092906 10855.000385 NaN
2025-04-06 0.355102 0.642402 1.335390 3.852975 23.722712 768672.512367 NaN
2025-04-13 0.327406 0.598302 1.263971 3.770937 25.755978 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.316976 0.592152 1.296694 4.176750 37.013908 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.303210 0.576366 1.299097 4.461693 50.608888 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.283854 0.544717 1.247539 4.443945 58.845248 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.263119 0.507344 1.171399 4.251892 61.255708 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.251098 0.489764 1.153275 4.385183 79.028663 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.242375 0.479187 1.155141 4.649738 114.271267 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.230563 0.459466 1.123115 4.680170 142.226514 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.215893 0.431051 1.057208 4.442994 142.669794 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.209607 0.423493 1.060767 4.704935 222.310587 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.201057 0.409155 1.038181 4.763468 298.027473 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.190733 0.389241 0.992679 4.616515 326.258016 NaN NaN